Tur cultivation is proving to be a viable alternative crop for farmers reeling under crop loss due to drought in the district. Tur is mainly cultivated and consumed in developing countries of the world. Tur is the second largest pulse crop accounting   about 20 percent of total pulse production in India. The country annually produces about 2.0-2.5 million tonnes which is almost stagnant in the past 10 years. Gulbarga region is known as Tur bowl of Karnataka. Kharif grown Tur is steadily entering into market of North Karnataka. Uncertain prices at harvest have made the farmers to think about the time and place of selling the produce. Under such condition, to help the farmers to take right decision regarding place and time of sale of the commodity, the prices of Tur that would prevail in major market of north Karnataka have been predicted by the Domestic and Export Market Intelligence Cell, Department of Agribusiness Management, University of Agricultural Sciences, Dharwad.

            Study has been taken up in forecasting the prices of Tur by using the past 22 years monthly modal prices data that prevailed in Sedam regulated market and by employing time series analytical models.  The forecast prices are further fine tuned by obtaining the valuable opinions of agricultural scientists, experienced traders of the crop in Sedam market, progressive farmers of the region considering the price trends in the other Tur markets in the country, existing  Government policies with regard to the marketing and international trade in Tur, futures prices of Tur from National Commodities and Derivatives Exchange of India (NCDEX) and also the minimum support price announced by the government were also considered for finalization of the forecast .

On the basis of the forecast prices of Tur by using 22 years monthly price data and further by keeping in view of valuable suggestions of traders, agricultural scientists and progressive farmers, the prices of Tur is expected to hover around Rs. 3800 to Rs. 4000 per quintal during the month of December, 2013, Rs. 3600-3900 in the month of January and Rs. 3900-4300 in the month of February, 2014 per quintal in Sedam regulated market. Hence, farmers are suggested to trade their produce during February to get good price for their commodity. Farmers are advised to bring dried, cleaned and bold grains to markets, since they fetch higher prices.