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Rubber Statistics with Anomaly

The Indian Rubber Board publication "monthly rubber statistical news" publishe'd online from December 2001. Why it happened? The QRMS (Quality Rubber Marketing Society) started to function from 1999.  QRMS purchased the same with an Annual payment of Rs 25 we felt to saw that it was an information on opening stock, production, import, consumption, export and balance stock with accuracy. The contents includes all details on various aspects.  We started to publish the monthly rubber statistical news on line. After that Rubber Board started to publish the same on the net.  On an analysis done by me I felt to saw some mathematical errors. At that time Dr Thomas Varghees was the Chairman of "Kerala State Agricultural Prices Board" was against my analysis. How ever I convinced him with more and more evidences. Finally he agreed with my analysis and promoted me on many occasions. Annual Rubber Statistics purchased from my own account.

 

Annual Rubber Statistics lime light entirely different figures on Import with a hike after 3 or 4 years. How ever the monthly Production, Consumption and Balance Stock will not change after huge variations. I handed over the analysis to Dr Shyamasundaran Nair (Pro vice chancellor of Agricultural University) who was a member of WTO Cell. With the help of Dr Thomas Varghees I got a chance to present my findings at  the symposium on opportunities and challenges in agri tade in front of Sri R. Heli who was the moderator. NTV a private television network led by Elias John also supported me through some episodes published on few TV Channels which includes the mathematical error on statistics. Dr Thomas Varghees introduced me to Sri Muraleedharan Thazhakkara and he provided mny chances to broadcast through "Vayalum Veedum" programme. Few magazines and TOI like news papers are covered me to lime light the irregularities in Rubber Statistics.  I am thankful to Dr KJ Joseph from CDS for inviting me as a stake holder in NRPPD to submit Major Points on that occasion. But an Economics expert will say “do not waste your valuable time by bothering too much about what rubber board does, what it publishes, etc.... they are beyond your control..” These words can't stop me to shut my mouth. Last International Study Congress by AKG Study Center provided a chance for a presentation led by Sri Bhaskaran C at University College Trivandrum.

 

When a  complaint registered on pgportal the reply was very disappointing. Here is the reply and closed the chapter. 

 

Asianet gave a chance in Nerkkuner TV programe. Part 1 |  Part 2 |   part3:. Thanks to PG Suresh. The evidence of low priced export done by Pala Rubber Marketing Society shown through the TV from St Tomas College PALA.  The latest TV presentation covered by ACVby Jijin Jaypal.

 

Finally AIRIA and ATMA Anomaly in Rubber Board’s stock calculation a worry: Trade bodies published was in favour of my analysis. “IRGA general secretary Sibi J Monippally said that the issue does not carry any relevance at this point of time, when prices are low. The prices have plunged from Rs 242 per kg to Rs118 today. The issue of stock was raised by ATMA deliberately to divert attention from core issues that the rubber sector in India is facing.” It is clear that the  Representatives of farmers and experts are against the interest of real farmers. I took part in the Rubber Policy discussion at CDS. Unfortunately I felt to saw that my points on anomaly on Indian Rubber Statistics was not included in the presentation done by Siby J Monipally in the presence of PC Cyriac IAS. The positive thinking of CDS can't include my negative findings on their final report. How ever I am able to put all irregularities in  Nirmala Sitharaman a Group in Facebook  which is a hope for a common man. Many of my analysis are now shared with specific people only, because the news Rubber Board Set Right Output Record came in to the notice of the Public. 

 

From 2009-10 the mathematical error stopped by the Rubber Board in the statistics of Synthetic Rubber. A synthetic Rubber manufacturer Sri Periyaswamy called me on phone to clarify the mistakes. That may be a reason to stop the mathematical error in the statistics of Synthetic Rubber.

 

This is an analysis done by me from 2010-11 to December 2014. Remember that the price hike in 2010 - Rs 16908, 2011 - Rs 212668  and 2012 - Rs 18440 per quintal for RSS 4 at Kottayam can't bring down the productivity in Kerala.

Compiled the published Data

Compiled the published Data

The final correction done by me on Rubber Statistics will provide a Balance Stock 1118946 Tonnes from 2009-10 to December 2014.

Expert committee can correct it?

Expert committee can correct it?

A request to the two member expert Committee. Please do not compel me to apply for form N which is less in number than Form H2 and L.  It will lime light the sale to other States which can't be greater than production.

When AAP formed in Kerala I joined the party to lime light the irregularities. Unfortunately the Kerala State Committee Suppressed the same and compelled me to resign as the District Co-ordinator. 

 

 

My analysis handed over to Adv J Venugopal and M Vijaykumar Ex-Speaker in front of Secretariate. No action had been taken on it.

My analysis at the hand of Sri M Vijaykumar

My analysis at the left hand of Sri M Vijaykumar

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Irresponsible Reply by the Rubber Board

My complaint registered on pgportal http://keralafarmeronline.com/2013/05/02/my-complaint-on-public-grievanc... and the reply. https://docs.google.com/file/d/1Pu_zOVvx0UACUaJBK-LjV-qdd1OZQMEQa9dqTrrS... This reply was given to me without any responsibility.
 
What happened to the statistics now? Why the two member committee appointed? Rubber Board issued press note on accepting Anomaly.

Please note that this is the opinion of the author and is Not Certified by ICAR or any of its authorised agents.