Here we go with the Second Advance Estimates of crop production for 2009-10. This is part of the spreadsheet I maintain - it goes back to 1997-98. This selection is for 2008-10 so that it fits in this space:
The Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE) has made what sounds to me like a realistic forecast of crop production. Also, the Fourth Advance estimates have just been released (I will post them here as soon as I can). This is the PTI report which quotes CMIE:
Recently I visited some wheat fields in Aligarh and Bulandshar and was surprised to see exceptionally high incidence of both Black and Yellow rust of wheat. The disease is more common in the late sown (December sowing) crop and generally the Black rust is noticed first.