Here we go with the Second Advance Estimates of crop production for 2009-10. This is part of the spreadsheet I maintain - it goes back to 1997-98. This selection is for 2008-10 so that it fits in this space:
The Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE) has made what sounds to me like a realistic forecast of crop production. Also, the Fourth Advance estimates have just been released (I will post them here as soon as I can). This is the PTI report which quotes CMIE:
India is the second largest producer of rice in the world. The mechanized sector of rice milling industry handles more than 45 million tonnes of paddy annually. About 10-15 million tonnes are processed through large scale modern mills involved in producing fine quality of rice for export market.